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Solid, ultra low interest rate jumbo mortgage loans are being actively funded by remembering the lending philosophy we relied on before the risk could be passed onto some unsuspecting pension fund via a CDO created by a trader at a Wall St Bank. With trillions in mortgage loan losses across the nation, major changes were needed. Regulatory reform passed Congress last week, but it wasn’t hard for the jumbo mortgage market to fix our own problems.

Normalcy has returned. The jumbo loan environment has settled into a prove it, we double verify it, and we fund it environment for well qualified borrowers. The recent national statistics show about 14% loans with a principal balance of 1m+ are at least 60 days late. This is up sharply in the last six months from the 9.78% figure that we ended 2009. Hopefully these default figures will flatten out and fall as the better jumbo loans of 09-10 perform much better than the loans closed in 04-08.

Against this backdrop jumbo loans are being funded only on a portfolio basis (Wall ST jumbo loan packaging is dead) to solid clients under the philosophy that the borrower and the amount of equity in the property should have an ample margin for the known/unknown risks a borrower/lender may face down the road. With regulators, taxpayers, shareholders and all stakeholders demanding sound lending the industry has delivered. I believe this only benefits the luxury market although it pushes out the marginal borrower and may result in some property value declines as the available buyers have thinned out a bit.

Sound lending has returned and borrowers are being ‘rewarded’ for their financial strength and prudence. Remember it’s a ‘prove it’ to us world now.

First and foremost, lenders are pulling copies of your tax returns directly from Uncle Sam. The idea here is to make sure that you haven't altered the copy of your last two years' tax returns that you provided when you signed your loan application. Lenders want to know if you might have exaggerated how much you earned.

Lenders also are going to great lengths to verify employment and liquid assets. We are seeking confirmation in writing from your H.R. department about what you earn, your position and how long you've worked there.


It's the same for your bank or brokerage accounts. Rather than being satisfied solely with the copies of the statements you provided, lenders are going directly to your financial services company to secure another set of those statements to make sure the numbers line up or that you just lost 200k betting that the latest iPhone signal problem would crush Apple’s stock price.

Lenders are no longer taking the appraiser's word for how much the property you want to buy or refinance is worth, either. Now, we are employing automated valuation models as well as an additional appraisal from a separate vendor to be certain the value estimate is on the money. This is especially true in highly distress markets or for very unique custom homes. After all, the bank is ‘buying’ the home and the borrower is signing to pay it back over 15-30 years.

Next in the line of close scrutiny is your credit score, but not just the score pulled when you applied for the loan. Now, our industry is pulling a second score shortly before closing to make sure that you haven't taken out a luxury car lease/loan, bought a houseful of furniture on credit or done something else that might change your ability to make your house payments.

Having passed all these double checks, a well qualified client with 20%+ equity, a 740 FICO or better, borrowing $1m on a primary residence could lock in the following jumbo loan rates in the majority of states:

5/1 ARM 3.625%
7/1 ARM 4.50%
10/1 ARM 4.90%
15Y Fixed 4.50%
30Y Fixed 5.125%

With a bit more equity and a higher FICO score these jumbo loan rates are even lower. I think people need to strongly consider locking in the lowest fixed jumbo mortgage rates we have ever seen. Most client’s refinancing are saving 1-2 thousand dollars a month because they are dropping their interest rates over 1%. The majority of jumbo mortgage loans funded over the last quarter were 30Y fixed. Maybe running with the herd is right once in awhile. The latest chart should really demonstrate how much money is on sale for SOLID borrowers.

And above all please get a jumbo loan that makes sense for your short and long term financial plans. As always, have a prosperous day.

Cross posted on www.FreeRateUpdate.com

Retail sales came out basically flat, car sales have stabilized(aside from Toyota) and job losses seem to be slowing down. But this long running recession is not finished with exacting pain on jumbo mortgage borrowers.

A record 9.6% of homeowners with a jumbo mortgage are behind on their payments or in foreclosure as the housing crisis spreads to borrowers with previously stellar credit records and six figure incomes. And the wave of foreclosures isn't expected to crest until the end of next year as the walk aways from 2004-7 purchases work their way along the lengthy foreclosure process which had been delayed by various state and federal foreclosure moratoriums.



The seriously late payment rate on prime jumbo loans has doubled from this time last year, and now represents the largest share of new foreclosures. U.S. prime jumbo mortgages backing securities at least 60 days late rose to 9.6 percent in January from 9.2 percent in December, the 32nd straight increase for “serious delinquencies,” according to Fitch Ratings.

The worst of the trouble continues to be centered in California, Nevada, Arizona , Florida; recently Oregon and Washington State have been added to the list of hard hit markets. These states account for 46 percent of new foreclosures in the country. There were no signs of improvement. The pain, however, is spreading throughout the country as mid-level and high end job losses take their toll. Aside from job losses lost bonus income and pay cuts were cited by borrowers as factors in their inability to stay current on their jumbo mortgage payments.

With continued economic weakness and property values in most cities declining we highly recommend our fix it and forget it strategy. Lock in a jumbo loan term that meets your specific personal and financial goals. We tend to favor the 7/1 ARM Jumbo Mortgage at 4.50% or the fixed jumbo loan at 5.625% with a 30Y term. These represent an excellent value considering that in three decades we haven’t had jumbo mortgage rates lower than these levels. As always, make it a prosperous week.

We speak to dozens of folks that are some way or the other waiting for rates to get lower than the 5% 5Y or 5.75% 30Y Fixed 2 million dollar jumbo they were quoted. Of course, who doesn't want a lower cost on something. Especially a budget item that represents roughly 20-30% of household income. But several factors could make waiting a disaster.

1. Home values continue to fall and your equity is diminished thus resulting in cash required to close. Primarily because loan to value levels in general within the jumbo mortgage market require at least 20% or more equity. Depends on the loan amount and the city/state.



2. The dollar and US based interest rates start to move higher because of a global view that the US is a riskier place to invest/lend. This has started to happen in the last few weeks. The US Dollar vs a global basket of other curriences has started to fall:

The value of the dollar rose nicely after the currency was viewed as a safe haven in Jan till March. Then the full breadth and scope of the recession(newpression?) plus the enormous costs of the bailouts investors(our creditors) began to move away from holding dollars and investing funds in US invesments.

3. The third largest risk is that all the government borrowing by countries around the world crowd out and soak up funds that normally would be put to work in the mortgage market. Here is the chart for what the US Treasury 10Y is currently going for:

Now, this isn't a disaster yet but today the US Government is having to pay 3.35% for ten year money vs about 2.50% range less than eight weeks ago. The enormous stimulus that congress passed has to be paid for right? The US goverment doesn't have any money. We basically have a line of credit with the rest of the world sitting at 11-12 TRILLION dollars owed now. This works out to about 37k for every man, woman and child in this country. See more here.

If investors/lenders decide that the US is a big credit risk then regular mortgage borrowers could be painted with the same brush and see much higher mortgage rates in the future. If you don't believe me and you want someone with some weight how about the manager of the largest bond group in the world? They manage about $750 billion.

If you don't want to play the jumbo mortgage rate casino game anymore with your house, Contact our office or another mortgage professional and get something done. It is better to lock and be wrong than to ride the interest rate rollercoaster in the coming years and regret it.

How do you avoid paying jumbo mortgage rates on a jumbo-sized mortgage?

You avoid taking your mortgage to a Wall Street lender, that's how.

It's pretty simple when we break it down.

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The word "jumbo" is a Wall Street-specific term for home loans larger than $417,000. In certain "high-cost" areas, the number is $729,750.

Lately, rates on jumbo mortgages have been terrible compared to its cousin, the conforming mortgage. Plus, jumbo mortgages carry higher loan fees.

The price disparity is even worse for so-called "Super Jumbo" mortgages. A super jumbo mortgage is similar to a jumbo mortgage, but bigger.

But the thing is, the terms "jumbo mortgage" and "super jumbo mortgage" -- these are conventions of a Wall Street-bound loan. Just because your loan size is over $417,000 doesn't mean that you have be subject to the jumbo and super-jumbo rules.

To avoid them, just make a choice avoid Wall Street mortgage lenders when your loan size exceeds your local conforming loan limits. This means bypassing your neighborhood Big Bank retail branches in favor of a niche banks that harbor no allegiance to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.

Finding banks like this isn't always easy, but it's worth the effort. This is because when a lender makes its own rules, its mortgage rates tend to be lower, its downpayment requirements tend to be smaller, and its underwriting process tends to be smoother.

These are all good things when your mortgage is greater than $417,000.

Consider these mortgage scenarios from a sampling of local banks. Each example carries a corresponding mortgage rate in the low-to-mid 6-percent range:

• $700,000 mortgage with 20 percent down, primary residence


• $1.5 million mortgage with 30 percent down, vacation home


• $2.5 million mortgage with 30 percent down, primary residence

Now, compared to what Wall Street lenders are offering, not only are the small bank rates up to 2 percent lower, but they're not accompanied by discount points, either. And that's even giving Wall Street the benefit of the doubt -- most Big Bank lenders won't hardly touch a jumbo or super jumbo mortgage with a 10-foot pole anymore.

The irony here is that wealthiest Americans often have private banking relationships with firms like Chase, Bank of America, and Citi among others but their private banking relationship is ill-equipped to handle the mortgage needs of a high net worth client anymore.

In 2005, the banks performed admirably for their wealthy clients. Today, not so much.

So, the best way to avoid paying jumbo mortgage rates on a jumbo-sized loan is to get out from Big Bank mentality and get your mortgage funded from somewhere other than Wall Street.

Jumbo mortgage rates are expensive. Niche, local bank mortgage rates are not. If you're a jumbo homeowner and you have a local banking relationship, it may be wise to call your branch to get a better rate quote.

And, if you don't have a local bank to call, know that you can always call or email me. I lend in 42 states and have niche banking relationships in all of them. If you can't find low rates for yourself, I'm happy to find them for you.

Rates move back to the 2006 or 2007 levels and you are at 7-8%+. In order to stop inflation central banks(i.e. the FED) raise rates. Don't be shocked to see HELOCs at 8% in two years and LIBOR at 6%. Why should a person put money in a CD at 3% when inflation is really 5-7%. Do you buy gas or food? Enough said. Rates will go higher to compensate.

From a recent client discussion:

"The case for renting has been simple enough. House prices rose so high in the first half of this decade that you could often get more for your money by renting. You could also avoid having a large part of your net worth tied up in a speculative bubble. All this time, I have been a renter myself, ... [but] the housing market has, obviously, changed quite a bit since our last move, in 2005....This month, we found a house that we really liked, and we made an offer. It was accepted.I’m still not sure how good our timing was. Based on the backlog of houses on the market, I fully expect that our new house will be worth less in six months than it is today. ...In fact, if you’re now renting - almost anywhere - and do not need to move, I’d probably recommend that you wait to buy. The market is still coming your way. But it’s O.K. with me if our timing wasn’t perfect.
Leonhardt isn't buying for appreciation, and he realizes the price will probably still decline further. He is buying because prices have fallen enough that the intangibles of homeownership (as he and his wife value them) outweigh the extra costs of owning a home compared to renting."