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Oh the Parabolic Troubles.



This chart is very troubling. Things are only accelerating. 4.5% of mortgages in the 4 trillion portfolio are over 90 days late. From Calculated Risk.

Making a Mess a Bit Better Looking?



This is a Wordle of the Blog. I am an optimist and generally a happy person. As I close out a tough week I am looking forward to the day a few years from now when the new Wordle has recovery and stability as the primary keywords. Have an excellent weekend.

Recession Over? Wall St Thinks So..


I think not. Chart of the day:

Vicious Circles in the Mortgage Market















The recession(newpression) is not finished with us yet:

Foreclosure Woes Mount for Those With Good Credit: A record 12 percent of homeowners with a mortgage are behind on their payments or in foreclosure as the housing crisis spreads to borrowers with good credit. And the wave of foreclosures isn't expected to crest until the end of next year, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Thursday. The foreclosure rate on prime fixed-rate loans doubled in the last year, and now represents the largest share of new foreclosures. Nearly 6 percent of fixed-rate mortgages to borrowers with good credit were in the foreclosure process. At the same time, almost half of all adjustable-rate loans made to borrowers with shaky credit were past due or in foreclosure.

The worst of the trouble continues to be centered in California, Nevada, Arizona and Florida, which accounted for 46 percent of new foreclosures in the country. There were no signs of improvement. The pain, however, is spreading throughout the country as job losses take their toll. The number of newly laid off people requesting jobless benefits fell last week, the government said Thursday, but the number of people receiving unemployment benefits was the highest on record. These borrowers are harder for lenders to help with loan modifications.




President Barack Obama's recent loan modification and refinancing plan might stem some foreclosures, but not enough to significantly alter the crisis.
"It may be too much to say that numbers will fall because of the plan. It's more correct to say that the numbers won't be as high," said Jay Brinkmann, chief economist for the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Depending on a Bailout: Slide Show

Great slide show on making sense of the mortgage meltdown from a seminar today at the Milken Institute in Los Angeles. They always have the best and most data-rich slides, bar none. Press the easel button in the viewer to blow up it to full screen.